Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.003971 0.004171 0.004377 0.004603 0.004846 0.005099 0.005382
2025-01-19 0.003498 0.003785 0.004092 0.004444 0.004839 0.005270 0.005779
2025-01-26 0.003299 0.003642 0.004019 0.004465 0.004983 0.005567 0.006282
2025-02-02 0.003211 0.003605 0.004049 0.004587 0.005229 0.005977 0.006923
2025-02-09 0.003042 0.003460 0.003938 0.004531 0.005254 0.006117 0.007238
2025-02-16 0.002924 0.003365 0.003877 0.004524 0.005329 0.006312 0.007623
2025-02-23 0.002811 0.003267 0.003806 0.004497 0.005372 0.006463 0.007954
2025-03-02 0.002747 0.003225 0.003798 0.004544 0.005506 0.006731 0.008446
2025-03-09 0.002650 0.003137 0.003727 0.004507 0.005528 0.006851 0.008743
2025-03-16 0.002560 0.003054 0.003658 0.004466 0.005540 0.006955 0.009019
2025-03-23 0.002462 0.002956 0.003567 0.004392 0.005503 0.006988 0.009194
2025-03-30 0.002374 0.002868 0.003483 0.004323 0.005469 0.007021 0.009367
2025-04-06 0.002321 0.002824 0.003457 0.004333 0.005544 0.007213 0.009789
2025-04-13 0.002206 0.002697 0.003319 0.004186 0.005396 0.007084 0.009725
2025-04-20 0.002165 0.002665 0.003304 0.004205 0.005481 0.007290 0.010180
2025-04-27 0.002163 0.002683 0.003356 0.004318 0.005702 0.007702 0.010981
2025-05-04 0.002100 0.002617 0.003293 0.004266 0.005683 0.007757 0.011215
2025-05-11 0.002056 0.002577 0.003263 0.004260 0.005728 0.007909 0.011614
2025-05-18 0.002009 0.002530 0.003221 0.004234 0.005743 0.008015 0.011942
2025-05-25 0.001987 0.002518 0.003226 0.004277 0.005862 0.008287 0.012568
2025-06-01 0.001941 0.002469 0.003180 0.004243 0.005862 0.008369 0.012868
2025-06-08 0.001895 0.002421 0.003133 0.004206 0.005854 0.008437 0.013146
2025-06-15 0.001842 0.002361 0.003067 0.004137 0.005795 0.008419 0.013267